The Wager

If a major breakthrough occurs in quantum physics before a Mars landing then you buy me (jerlendds) a coffee. Otherwise Ill buy you (Astra) one.

I think we will have AGI and web3 before that happens. We probably even will be on the Moon or Mars before this happens

Where “that” is progress in quantum physics.

Astra has defined AGI as:

a real reliable AI

Outside of this AGI definition being piss poor I do disagree with this, I believe this presupposes that to achieve AGI we won’t need further advancements in our understanding of freewill and or consciousness which I personally believe quantum physics may perhaps play a role in. Although I do concede that it is possible we may setup settlements on the Moon before major progress happens in quantum physics but I’m not sure about Mars.

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2101.01538

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1812.01909